Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.248182 0.287342 0.332090 0.387316 0.454057 0.532637 0.632939
2025-08-31 0.183281 0.231647 0.293232 0.378672 0.496174 0.655175 0.892046
2025-09-07 0.152154 0.204914 0.277674 0.388060 0.556274 0.811682 1.246931
2025-09-14 0.127201 0.179514 0.256087 0.380512 0.586142 0.929215 1.584954
2025-09-21 0.111741 0.164068 0.244668 0.383747 0.630947 1.080889 2.041006
2025-09-28 0.099126 0.150443 0.232963 0.382902 0.667006 1.226396 2.549565
2025-10-05 0.091255 0.142890 0.229394 0.394633 0.728159 1.439312 3.313593
2025-10-12 0.084231 0.135574 0.224780 0.403060 0.784493 1.661351 4.230374
2025-10-19 0.078111 0.128885 0.220069 0.410053 0.839361 1.900257 5.353572
2025-10-26 0.073529 0.124258 0.218329 0.422516 0.909834 2.206532 6.926003
2025-11-02 0.068550 0.118247 0.212999 0.426176 0.960345 2.480850 8.630444
2025-11-09 0.063809 0.112110 0.206524 0.425987 1.001195 2.745939 10.566795
2025-11-16 0.059185 0.105789 0.199053 0.422681 1.034802 3.011420 12.850294
2025-11-23 0.054735 0.099359 0.190574 0.415571 1.056637 3.252412 15.356457
2025-11-30 0.052241 0.096574 0.189503 0.426637 1.136007 3.750055 20.184298
2025-12-07 0.048550 0.090947 0.181463 0.418289 1.153004 4.015728 23.988969
2025-12-14 0.046073 0.087609 0.178154 0.421943 1.210882 4.494479 30.528734
2025-12-21 0.043530 0.083876 0.173475 0.421000 1.253370 4.936241 37.971718
2025-12-28 0.042064 0.082329 0.173738 0.434164 1.351704 5.731547 51.844969
2026-01-04 0.040486 0.080377 0.172778 0.443627 1.440486 6.558311 69.895944
2026-01-11 0.038935 0.078338 0.171354 0.451482 1.526799 7.458181 94.273960
2026-01-18 0.037790 0.077114 0.171835 0.465491 1.645508 8.695938 134.450675
2026-01-25 0.036260 0.074857 0.169384 0.469607 1.723537 9.751459 181.375180